Financing / Data study

SBA loan default rates by franchise: 72 brands, 42,558 loans

A franchise is sold as the safer way into business. SBA's loan records show how much depends on which franchise: at some brands no loan failed, and at others more than one in four did.

"Default rate" is the phrase people search for, and as in our study of industries it is not quite what the public records measure. SBA's file marks a loan charged off when the remaining balance has been written off, after the borrower has stopped paying and the lender has finished collecting. That is the last step in the life of a failed loan, so charge-off rates run lower and later than default rates. They are the only measure of failure SBA publishes loan by loan.

When a borrower operates under a franchise, the lender records which one. We took the 478,963 7(a) loans approved in fiscal years 2010 through 2019 and paid out, the same loans as in the industry study. 42,558 of them, 8.9%, name a franchise. SBA's file spells one brand several ways (Subway appears under three codes and three names), so the first job was to put the names back together. Then, for each of the 72 brands with at least 100 loans, we counted how many had been charged off by June 30, 2026.

The brands at the two ends

At 4 brands, more than one loan in four was charged off

Share of 7(a) loans to each brand's franchisees, approved in fiscal years 2010–2019, that had been charged off by June 30, 2026. The 12 highest of 72 brands with at least 100 loans.

Signarama28.8%
Dickey's Barbecue Pit28.4%
iLoveKickboxing27.4%
Fantastic Sams25.4%
Meineke20.6%
Which Wich20.5%
AAMCO19.6%
Papa John's16.5%
Menchie's16.4%
Sky Zone13.5%
Edible Arrangements12.5%
Amazing Lash Studio11.3%

Source: The Mercantile Record analysis of SBA 7(a) loan records as of June 30, 2026. Method.

At 6 brands, no loan was charged off at all

Same measure and same scale as the chart above. The 12 lowest of 72 brands; among equals, the brand with more loans comes first.

Culver's0.0%
Christian Brothers Automotive0.0%
Club Pilates0.0%
Wingstop0.0%
Nothing Bundt Cakes0.0%
Planet Fitness0.0%
Ameriprise Financial0.3%
Primrose Schools0.4%
The UPS Store0.6%
Rodeway Inn0.8%
Shell0.8%
Red Roof Inn1.0%

Source: The Mercantile Record analysis of SBA 7(a) loan records as of June 30, 2026. Method.

At 4 brands more than one loan in four was charged off: Signarama (30 of 104 loans), Dickey's Barbecue Pit (63 of 222 loans), iLoveKickboxing (29 of 106 loans) and Fantastic Sams (30 of 118 loans). The gaps between those 4 are too small to rank them. In all, 14 brands had at least one loan in ten charged off.

At 6 brands no loan was charged off at all. The largest of them is Culver's, with 215 loans. 23 brands, those 6 among them, lost fewer than one loan in fifty.

For comparison, 7.1% of all 478,963 loans from those years were charged off.

Every brand with at least 100 loans

Click a column heading to sort. Two of the columns need a word of explanation.

Loans of the same size and year is the brand's yardstick. It is the share that would have been charged off if each of the brand's loans had done exactly as well as the average 7(a) loan, franchise or not, of the same size and approved in the same fiscal year. It matters because size and timing move the rate before the brand has any say. Hotels borrow millions, and loans that large seldom fail whoever takes them: 3.2% of all loans over $2 million were charged off. Small loans made in a bad year start from a much higher mark.

Against those loans says whether the gap between the two figures is more than luck. With 100 loans, one failure moves a brand's rate by a full percentage point, so small gaps mean nothing. We write "higher" or "lower" only when chance alone would produce a gap that large less than once in a hundred times. Everything else is "no clear difference".

SignaramaSign manufacturing10428.8%8.0%Higher16.4%29.5%$150,000
Dickey's Barbecue PitLimited-service restaurants22228.4%6.5%Higher18.9%20.9%$243,250
iLoveKickboxingGyms and fitness centers10627.4%7.9%Higher17.9%21.4%$210,500
Fantastic SamsBeauty salons11825.4%7.4%Higher15.2%20.2%$166,850
MeinekeGeneral automotive repair15520.6%6.7%Higher13.6%10.4%$253,000
Which WichLimited-service restaurants15620.5%6.7%Higher7.0%13.2%$274,000
AAMCOAutomotive transmission repair10719.6%6.9%Higher8.4%8.8%$198,000
Papa John'sLimited-service restaurants12116.5%6.9%Higher9.1%13.6%$232,000
Menchie'sCoffee, juice and snack bars20116.4%6.7%Higher8.0%10.9%$309,000
Sky ZoneAll other amusement and recreation industries10413.5%4.1%Higher1.0%7.1%$1,295,000
Edible ArrangementsAll other specialty food stores20812.5%7.2%Higher4.8%8.0%$176,500
Amazing Lash StudioBeauty salons14211.3%5.7%No clear difference1.4%5.9%$360,400
Anytime FitnessGyms and fitness centers68411.1%6.0%Higher5.3%8.1%$300,850
Snap FitnessGyms and fitness centers15610.3%7.3%No clear difference6.4%6.6%$150,000
Massage EnvyOther personal care services3259.5%5.8%No clear difference2.5%6.3%$416,800
MaacoAutomotive body, paint, and interior repair and maintenance1169.5%6.4%No clear difference3.5%4.9%$336,000
Liberty Tax ServiceTax preparation services1358.9%7.5%No clear difference5.9%9.3%$85,000
MidasGeneral automotive repair1008.0%6.7%No clear difference4.0%7.4%$261,750
Firehouse SubsLimited-service restaurants4037.4%6.5%No clear difference3.5%5.2%$270,000
FedEx GroundGeneral freight trucking, local2087.2%7.0%No clear difference2.9%7.6%$150,000
SubwayLimited-service restaurants1,3077.0%6.9%No clear difference2.7%4.3%$184,500
Papa Murphy'sLimited-service restaurants2056.8%6.8%No clear difference4.9%3.7%$225,000
FastsignsSign manufacturing1626.8%6.7%No clear difference3.7%3.1%$225,000
Jimmy John'sLimited-service restaurants6206.5%5.7%No clear difference2.1%4.5%$379,400
The Learning ExperienceChild care centers1286.2%5.7%No clear difference2.3%3.1%$365,000
Ace HardwareHardware stores2956.1%5.6%No clear difference2.0%2.1%$455,200
Little CaesarsLimited-service restaurants3656.0%6.4%No clear difference1.9%4.2%$250,000
Marco's PizzaLimited-service restaurants2686.0%6.2%No clear difference3.4%3.6%$326,350
Budget BlindsWindow treatment stores1245.7%7.8%No clear difference5.7%2.9%$150,000
Sport ClipsBarber shops5145.6%6.8%No clear difference0.8%3.5%$204,700
ServproOther services to buildings and dwellings2954.4%6.9%No clear difference0.3%4.6%$150,000
Country Inn & SuitesHotels and motels1043.9%3.8%No clear difference1.0%1.3%$2,929,650
AllstateInsurance agencies and brokerages2113.8%6.3%No clear difference2.4%1.2%$225,000
BaymontHotels and motels1383.6%3.3%No clear difference1.5%1.9%$2,200,000
Kiddie AcademyChild care centers1963.6%4.7%No clear difference0.5%0.7%$748,350
La QuintaHotels and motels1153.5%3.5%No clear difference0.0%1.3%$3,485,000
Smoothie KingLimited-service restaurants2153.3%6.8%No clear difference0.5%2.4%$262,000
SupercutsBeauty salons2203.2%7.4%No clear difference1.8%1.1%$150,000
Hand & StoneOther personal care services1402.9%5.5%No clear difference0.7%1.7%$376,750
Tropical Smoothie CafeLimited-service restaurants2242.7%6.7%No clear difference2.2%1.6%$255,700
European Wax CenterOther personal care services3082.3%5.9%Lower0.7%1.4%$350,000
ServiceMasterJanitorial services1332.3%6.4%No clear difference1.5%0.4%$225,000
Motel 6Hotels and motels2232.2%3.7%No clear difference0.4%0.5%$1,680,000
Americas Best Value InnHotels and motels1342.2%4.2%No clear difference1.5%0.9%$1,142,000
Quality InnHotels and motels4582.2%3.6%No clear difference0.2%1.8%$2,181,000
Dairy QueenLimited-service restaurants4172.2%6.0%Lower0.2%1.1%$340,000
Great ClipsBeauty salons2312.2%7.2%Lower2.2%1.6%$150,000
Jersey Mike'sLimited-service restaurants2452.0%6.4%Lower1.6%1.8%$300,000
Comfort Inn and Comfort SuitesHotels and motels2972.0%3.6%No clear difference0.0%1.0%$2,820,000
Super 8Hotels and motels3631.9%4.0%No clear difference0.5%1.0%$1,510,000
The Goddard SchoolChild care centers3161.9%4.3%No clear difference0.3%0.4%$1,360,100
Days InnHotels and motels4001.8%4.0%No clear difference0.8%1.0%$1,787,000
Cold Stone CreameryCoffee, juice and snack bars1211.7%7.4%No clear difference0.8%0.5%$175,000
Home InsteadHome health care services1921.6%6.1%Lower1.0%0.8%$336,200
Best WesternHotels and motels2591.5%3.8%No clear difference0.0%0.9%$2,500,000
Orangetheory FitnessGyms and fitness centers3461.5%5.4%Lower0.3%0.9%$474,500
Econo LodgeHotels and motels2111.4%4.2%No clear difference0.0%0.8%$1,299,100
Dunkin'Limited-service restaurants2201.4%5.8%Lower0.9%2.0%$496,000
Domino'sLimited-service restaurants2351.3%6.4%Lower0.9%0.4%$283,200
ChevronGas stations with convenience stores1901.1%4.3%No clear difference0.0%0.5%$1,402,500
Red Roof InnHotels and motels1971.0%3.7%No clear difference0.0%0.2%$1,920,700
ShellGas stations with convenience stores1230.8%4.8%No clear difference0.0%0.1%$1,135,000
Rodeway InnHotels and motels1260.8%3.9%No clear difference0.0%0.4%$1,370,000
The UPS StorePrivate mail centers5190.6%7.2%Lower0.0%0.4%$193,000
Primrose SchoolsChild care centers2440.4%4.1%Lower0.4%0.2%$3,061,950
Ameriprise FinancialInvestment advice3300.3%6.0%Lower0.3%0.1%$335,000
Culver'sLimited-service restaurants2150.0%5.1%Lower0.0%0.0%$805,100
Christian Brothers AutomotiveGeneral automotive repair1730.0%5.8%Lower0.0%0.0%$320,000
Club PilatesGyms and fitness centers1730.0%7.6%Lower0.0%0.0%$200,000
WingstopLimited-service restaurants1570.0%5.9%Lower0.0%0.0%$350,000
Nothing Bundt CakesRetail bakeries1320.0%6.0%Lower0.0%0.0%$350,000
Planet FitnessGyms and fitness centers1140.0%5.1%Lower0.0%0.0%$1,040,000

By that test 12 brands did worse than comparable loans, 17 did better, and 43 cannot be told apart from them. Subway, by far the largest brand with 1,307 loans, sits almost exactly on its mark: 7.0% charged off, against 6.9% for loans of the same size and year. Anytime Fitness, the second-largest, is clearly above its own: 11.1% against 6.0%.

Size and timing explain little. The twelve brands in the first chart had yardsticks between 4.1% and 8.0%. Their actual rates ran from 11.3% to 28.8%.

The big names are not where the losses are

Loans to the smaller brands were charged off 1.9 times as often as loans to the 72 biggest

Share of 7(a) loans approved in fiscal years 2010–2019 that were charged off. "Brands with 100 loans or more" are the 72 in the table; every other loan with a franchise code is in the second bar.

Brands with 100 loans or more5.6%
All other franchise loans10.8%
Loans with no franchise7.0%

Source: The Mercantile Record analysis of SBA 7(a) loan records as of June 30, 2026. Method.

Show the numbers as a table
LoansNumberCharged offLoans of the same size and year
Brands with 100 loans or more17,5195.6%5.9%
All other franchise loans25,03910.8%6.5%
Loans with no franchise436,4057.0%7.2%

Franchise loans as a whole did worse than other loans: 8.7% charged off, against 7.0% of loans to businesses with no franchise. Size does not explain it. Franchise loans are larger than most, with a median of $287,500 against $100,400, and larger loans fail less often. Their yardstick was only 6.3%.

Splitting them in two shows where the difference comes from. The 72 brands in the table account for 41% of franchise loans. Taken together, 5.6% of their loans were charged off, slightly under their yardstick of 5.9%. Every other franchise loan, 25,039 of them under 3,492 other names, did far worse: 10.8%, against a yardstick of 6.5%.

Most of those smaller brands have a handful of loans each, far too few to rank. As a group the message is plain. Franchises with a long record of SBA-financed outlets did about as well as other 7(a) loans of their size. Franchises without one were charged off about twice as often.

The records do not say why. What they do show is that the word "franchise" on a loan application is no evidence of safety. A particular brand's record is evidence, when the brand is old enough and large enough to have one.

Same business, different brand

Kinds of business with at least three brands in the table, loans approved in fiscal years 2010–2019
Kind of businessBrandsLoansCharged off, all brands togetherLowest brandHighest brand
Limited-service restaurants175,5956.5%Culver's, 0.0%Dickey's Barbecue Pit, 28.4%
Hotels and motels133,0252.0%Rodeway Inn, 0.8%Country Inn & Suites, 3.9%
Gyms and fitness centers61,5798.0%Club Pilates, 0.0%iLoveKickboxing, 27.4%
Child care centers48842.5%Primrose Schools, 0.4%The Learning Experience, 6.2%
Other personal care services37735.4%European Wax Center, 2.3%Massage Envy, 9.5%
Beauty salons47118.2%Great Clips, 2.2%Fantastic Sams, 25.4%
General automotive repair34289.3%Christian Brothers Automotive, 0.0%Meineke, 20.6%

The brand matters inside a single kind of business. Among the 17 limited-service restaurant chains in the table, the share of loans charged off runs from 0.0% at Culver's to 28.4% at Dickey's Barbecue Pit. Gyms, hair salons and auto repair shops are spread almost as widely.

Hotels are the exception. All 13 hotel brands fall between 0.8% and 3.9%, every one of them below the rate for loans with no franchise at all. Their yardsticks are low too, between 3.3% and 4.2%: hotel loans run to millions of dollars, the kind of sum normally lent against property.

What lenders are financing now

Everything above concerns loans made in 2019 or earlier. It has to. Failure takes years, and a loan made in 2024 has had no time to fail. But the brands lenders finance today are partly different ones.

In the twelve months to June 30, 2026, 7,337 7(a) loans went to franchises, under 1,569 different names. These are the 20 brands with the most.

The 20 brands with the most 7(a) loans approved July 2025 to June 2026. A dash means too few loans to give a rate: fewer than 100 in the older group, fewer than 50 in the newer one.
BrandLoans in the last 12 monthsMedian loanLoans, fiscal 2010–2019Charged offLoans, fiscal 2018–2021Charged off within 4 years
The UPS Store157$340,0005190.6%3400.0%
The Back Nine98$409,3500–0–
Hotworx72$496,00041–1290.0%
The Goddard School52$1,499,4003161.9%1950.0%
Domino's49$550,0002351.3%1311.5%
Days Inn48$2,738,5004001.8%1900.0%
Ace Hardware46$855,5002956.1%2000.0%
Naturals2Go45$150,00040–711.4%
Subway42$245,0001,3077.0%3382.4%
Bricks & Minifigs41$244,90011–3–
Quality Inn41$2,890,0004582.2%2650.4%
Tropical Smoothie Cafe40$562,0002242.7%1870.5%
Paris Baguette39$1,370,00011–18–
Woof Gang Bakery and Grooming39$300,0008–12–
Comfort Inn and Comfort Suites38$4,273,4502972.0%1620.0%
Paul Davis Restoration38$500,00055–19–
Super 838$1,957,0003631.9%1920.0%
Jersey Mike's37$635,0002452.0%1690.6%
Kiddie Academy37$935,0001963.6%1160.0%
Sam the Concrete Man36$150,0000–19–

12 of the 20 are in the main table. For the other 8 there is little to go on, and for 6 of them nothing: too few loans in either period to give a rate. The Back Nine had 98 loans approved in those twelve months and not one paid out in fiscal 2010 through 2021.

The four-year column needs care. It covers loans approved in fiscal 2018 through 2021, and four years is a short time: among the older loans, the typical charge-off came 4.7 years after approval. A zero in that column means no early failures. It does not mean the brand is safe.

5% of 7(a) loans went to franchises in fiscal 2010, and 16% in fiscal 2021

Share of 7(a) loans that carry a franchise code, by fiscal year of approval (October to September), cancelled loans left out. SBA did not publish its franchise directory between May 2023 and June 2025.

0%5%10%15%20%201020122014201620182020202220240%10%20%2010201420182022

Source: The Mercantile Record analysis of SBA 7(a) loan records as of June 30, 2026. Method.

Show the numbers as a table
Approved inLoansWith a franchise codeShare
FY201039,9132,0685.2%
FY201145,6282,2775.0%
FY201238,8892,2555.8%
FY201340,4162,8607.1%
FY201445,9624,2509.2%
FY201555,4215,3459.6%
FY201656,7895,4819.7%
FY201756,0805,4449.7%
FY201854,2236,41811.8%
FY201945,6866,16213.5%
FY202036,4904,99513.7%
FY202145,3607,10515.7%
FY202242,2825,90714.0%
FY202351,7476,75513.1%
FY202462,6185,4938.8%
FY202564,0966,55610.2%

Franchises take a larger share of the program than they used to. In fiscal 2010, 5.2% of 7(a) loans carried a franchise code. In fiscal 2021 it was 15.7%.

The drop in fiscal 2024 coincides with a change in the rules, and may be a gap in the records more than a fall in lending. SBA stopped publishing its franchise directory on May 11, 2023. The lending manual that took effect on June 1, 2025 brought it back, and tells lenders to enter the brand's name and code with every franchise application. The share of loans carrying a code went from 13.1% in fiscal 2023 to 8.8% in fiscal 2024. We would not read the figures for fiscal 2024 and 2025 as a retreat from franchise lending.

What SBA checks about a franchise, and what it does not

SBA keeps a directory of franchise brands it has reviewed. Under its lending manual, a brand that meets the Federal Trade Commission's definition of a franchise has to be on that list before one of its franchisees can get a 7(a) or 504 loan. The definition is wider than the word suggests. The manual applies it to the fuel-supply agreements of gas stations, which is why Chevron and Shell are in the table above.

The review settles whether the business is eligible for an SBA loan. It is not a judgment on whether franchisees do well, and SBA says so twice. The manual: "Placement of a brand on the Directory is not an endorsement or a guaranty of the success of the brand." The directory's own page: placement "is not an endorsement or approval of the brand and does not ensure the success of the business."

The lender is asked for a little more. In the written analysis behind its decision on a franchise loan, it "must review any credit information provided, such as the number of failed franchisees and cash flow projections provided by the franchisor." That is a review of what the franchisor supplies. The manual's passages on franchises do not mention how the brand's earlier SBA loans turned out. Those records are public, and any lender or borrower can look.

If you are thinking of buying a franchise

These are rates for groups of loans made years ago. They say nothing certain about one outlet in one town. They are still worth a few minutes before you sign.

Look the brand up. If it is in the table, you can see how SBA loans to its franchisees turned out, and whether that was better or worse than similar loans. If it is not there, that is information too. It means the brand had fewer than 100 SBA loans in ten years, and loans to brands like that were charged off about twice as often as loans to the brands that are listed.

Read Item 20 of the disclosure document. Under the Federal Trade Commission's Franchise Rule, a franchisor must give you its Franchise Disclosure Document at least 14 calendar days before you sign a binding agreement or pay anything. (The rule has exemptions. Fuel-supply agreements for gas stations are one.) Item 20 is the part to read against this page. It shows, state by state and for each of the last three years, how many franchised outlets opened, changed hands, were terminated, were not renewed, were bought back by the franchisor or stopped operating for other reasons. It also gives the names and telephone numbers of current franchisees, and of every franchisee who left the system in the last year. Call some of the ones who left. The same item has to say whether franchisees have signed agreements that limit what they can tell you.

Ask what the franchisor has told the lender. SBA's manual expects the lender to review what the franchisor provides on failed franchisees and on cash flow. Ask to see the same figures.

Remember whose guarantee it is. Anyone who owns 20% or more of the business guarantees an SBA loan personally, franchise or not. The brand does not share that risk. Our guide to the personal guarantee explains what you would be signing.

Buying an outlet that already exists is a different kind of loan. For SBA it is the purchase of a business, with its own rules on the buyer's equity and on cash flow. See SBA loans to buy a business.

What these numbers are not

  • Not default rates. A charge-off is the end of the road. Loans that are behind on payments but not yet written off cannot be seen in the public file.
  • Not final. 15% of these franchise loans are still being repaid, and some of them will fail.
  • Not a count of failed outlets. A franchisee can close and still repay the loan, and a loan can be charged off while the outlet trades on under a new owner.
  • Not the whole brand. Only franchisees who borrowed through the 7(a) program are here. Those who paid cash, borrowed elsewhere or used SBA's 504 program are not.
  • Not a verdict on the franchisor. The records do not say why a loan failed. The site, the owner, the local market and the brand all look the same from here.
  • Loans, not owners. An owner with three outlets may have three loans. We checked whether a few large operators could be driving a brand's figure, matching borrowers by name and state. They are not: the brands in the table average 1.14 loans per borrower, and no borrower accounts for more than 4 of a brand's charged-off loans.
  • The yardstick is a rough one. It allows for loan size and year and nothing else. A restaurant chain is measured against all loans of that size, not against other restaurants. The table by kind of business is there for that.
  • Names are entered by lenders. We merged the spellings of each brand by hand and may have missed one. Listings that cover two brands under one agreement are left out of both. So are 89 loans filed under the placeholder "Temporary franchises" and 40 that have a code and no name.
  • A brand's past is not its present. These are loans made between 2010 and 2019. Brands are sold, change their management and rewrite their agreements.

Method in brief

We used SBA's public file of 7(a) loans approved in fiscal years 2010 through 2019, dated June 30, 2026, without the loans marked cancelled or never paid out. A loan is a franchise loan if the file gives it a franchise code. The file spells the franchise names of these loans 4,297 different ways. We treated names as one brand when they carry the same brand name and the loans are in the same line of business. 193 of those spellings became the 72 brands listed, and the download shows which. Names we did not merge by hand are counted as the same when they differ only in capitals or punctuation.

A brand's yardstick is the average, over its loans, of the charge-off rate of all 7(a) loans in the same one of 7 size bands and approved in the same fiscal year. For "higher" and "lower" we ask how often a group of that many loans, each failing at the yardstick rate, would end up at least that far from it. We require less than 1% of the time, counting both directions. Loans to one owner tend to fail together, which is one reason the bar is set high.

The newer record counts charge-offs within 48 months of approval, on loans approved in fiscal 2018 through 2021 and paid out. Recent lending is loans approved from July 1, 2025 to June 30, 2026 and not cancelled. The full method and the table to download are on the data page.

Sources

  1. 7(a) & 504 FOIA dataset, U.S. Small Business Administration. Loan-level records as of June 30, 2026. Every count and rate in this article. Outcomes come from the fiscal 2010–2019 file; recent lending and the newer record also use the file for fiscal 2020 onward. Checked October 10, 2026.
  2. SOP 50 10 8.1, Lender and Development Company Loan Programs, U.S. Small Business Administration. Effective October 1, 2026. Section A, Ch. 1, Para. G, Franchises: the directory, which agreements count as franchises, what the lender enters with an application. The credit standards for 7(a) loans: what the lender reviews for a franchise. Checked October 10, 2026.
  3. SBA Franchise Directory, U.S. Small Business Administration. The directory dated October 9, 2026, and the statement on its page that a listing is not an endorsement. Checked October 10, 2026.
  4. 16 CFR Part 436, Disclosure Requirements and Prohibitions Concerning Franchising, Federal Trade Commission, in the Electronic Code of Federal Regulations. Section 436.2(a): the disclosure document must be given at least 14 calendar days before signing or paying. Section 436.5(t), Item 20: the tables of outlets and the lists of current and former franchisees. Read as current on October 7, 2026. Checked October 10, 2026.
  5. Affiliation and Lending Criteria for the SBA Business Loan Programs, final rule, 88 FR 21074, Federal Register. April 10, 2023, effective May 11, 2023. States that from the effective date SBA would no longer publish the Franchise Directory. Checked October 10, 2026.
  6. SOP 50 10 8, Lender and Development Company Loan Programs, U.S. Small Business Administration. Effective June 1, 2025. The manual that brought the directory back. Checked October 10, 2026.

Corrections and updates

  • First published.

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